Sandvikens IF 2-1 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.28
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
10%
5.12
X/2
16%
6.08
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.18
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandvikens IF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 36%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.28
-100% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH Sandvikens IF vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandvikens IF edged past Örebro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sandvikens IF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Sandvikens IF vs Örebro?

Sandvikens IF 2-1 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandvikens IF vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandvikens IF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sandvikens IF 37%, draw 26%, Örebro 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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