Degerfors 2-0 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 6 Apr 2024

Degerfors
2-0 HT 1-0
GIF Sundsvall
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Degerfors vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
14%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
16%
3.84
X/2
7%
10.8
X/X
11%
5.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.85
2/2
9%
8.2
2/X
6%
16.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Degerfors v GIF Sundsvall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
2.03/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.45
+13% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.2

Degerfors vs GIF Sundsvall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
5W-0D-1L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.42 xG 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.08.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 1-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
09.05.2022 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-3 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
27.02.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 4-1 HT 2-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇK
28.11.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 2-5 HT 1-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
01.08.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-4 HT 0-2 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
13.09.2014 Degerfors Degerfors 4-1 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors beat GIF Sundsvall 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Degerfors as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Degerfors and 1.83 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs GIF Sundsvall?

Degerfors 2-0 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 53%, draw 24%, GIF Sundsvall 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Degerfors) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Degerfors) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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