Adelaide Comets 2-3 Adelaide Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Comets EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 25%
+21% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.38/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.79
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Comets
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Adelaide Raiders
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2021 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 3-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
17.04.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-4 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
26.09.2020 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 4-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
07.08.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-2 HT 1-2 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
06.04.2015 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 0-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
22.03.2014 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 4-2 HT 2-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Raiders squeezed past Adelaide Comets 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide Comets at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide Comets had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Adelaide Comets and 0.67 for Adelaide Raiders.

What was the final score of Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide Raiders?

Adelaide Comets 2-3 Adelaide Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide Comets win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Comets 50%, draw 23%, Adelaide Raiders 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide Comets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide Comets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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