St George City FA 2-1 Marconi Stallions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -22%
1.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.56
-48% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.6 Crosses 18.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Marconi Stallions
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
232 Passes 276
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.06.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 0-2 HT 0-0 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
25.02.2023 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 2-3 HT 1-3 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Marconi Stallions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA edged past Marconi Stallions 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day St George City FA made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St George City FA and 2.00 for Marconi Stallions.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Marconi Stallions?

St George City FA 2-1 Marconi Stallions in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Marconi Stallions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marconi Stallions win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 34%, draw 31%, Marconi Stallions 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marconi Stallions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marconi Stallions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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