Cardiff MU 0-3 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.61
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 32% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
30%
-6.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.18/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.72
+3% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Connahs Quay
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
3 Corners 4
24.02.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
04.11.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-1 HT 2-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
16.09.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 4-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
08.04.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-2 HT 0-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
25.02.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
15.10.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff MU
0-3
AWAY Connahs Quay
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay ran out comfortable winners over Cardiff MU 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cardiff MU had 36% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 64%, shots finished 4-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cardiff MU and 2.17 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay?

Cardiff MU 0-3 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 23%, draw 33%, Connahs Quay 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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