Connahs Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.10/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.34
+10% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cardiff MU
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
4 Corners 3
04.11.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-1 HT 2-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
16.09.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 4-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
08.04.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-2 HT 0-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
25.02.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
15.10.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
13.08.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-0 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay squeezed past Cardiff MU 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.00 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU?

Connahs Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 57%, draw 24%, Cardiff MU 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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