Newtown 1-5 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

Newtown
1-5 HT 1-4
Bala Town
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Newtown vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
15%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newtown v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.31/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.09
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Newtown vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bala Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
30.09.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
05.05.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-4 HT 1-2 Newtown Newtown GAL
07.04.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
25.02.2023 Newtown Newtown 3-2 HT 0-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
27.09.2022 Newtown Newtown 0-2 HT 0-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL

Newtown 1-5 Bala Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newtown
1-5
AWAY Bala Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town cruised past Newtown 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bala Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Newtown had 52% of the ball to Bala Town's 48%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newtown and 1.50 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Bala Town?

Newtown 1-5 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newtown 31%, draw 25%, Bala Town 44%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bala Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bala Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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