Pontypridd Town AFC 4-0 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.01/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.31
-36% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
13.01.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-3 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
19.11.2023 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 0-3 HT 0-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
4-0
AWAY Colwyn Bay
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 13
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC cruised past Colwyn Bay 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pontypridd Town AFC had 55% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 45%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 2.50 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Colwyn Bay?

Pontypridd Town AFC 4-0 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 47%, draw 30%, Colwyn Bay 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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