Colwyn Bay 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
47%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
7%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 35% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+7.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.2pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 43%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.39/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.55
+6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 4-0 HT 2-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
13.01.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-3 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
19.11.2023 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 0-3 HT 0-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colwyn Bay
1-0
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay nicked a narrow win over Pontypridd Town AFC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Colwyn Bay had 54% of the ball to Pontypridd Town AFC's 46%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Colwyn Bay and 2.33 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Colwyn Bay 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 28%, draw 25%, Pontypridd Town AFC 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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