Varnsdorf 2-1 Lisen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisen EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.68/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.08
+15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lisen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Lisen Lisen 1-0 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
27.03.2024 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-1 HT 0-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
19.08.2023 Lisen Lisen 2-1 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
13.11.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-0 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
06.08.2022 Lisen Lisen 3-0 HT 3-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
26.04.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
2-1
AWAY Lisen
40% Ball Possession 60%
20 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Lisen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf nicked a narrow win over Lisen 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Varnsdorf found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 40% of the ball to Lisen's 60%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lisen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Varnsdorf and 1.33 for Lisen.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Lisen?

Varnsdorf 2-1 Lisen in the Czech Republic - FNL on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Lisen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lisen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 35%, draw 27%, Lisen 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lisen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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