Hearts 0-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 6 Apr 2025

Hearts
0-1 HT 0-0
Dundee United
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Hearts vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.3
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
17%
4.23
X/2
8%
9.24
X/X
17%
4.94
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
12%
7.57
2/X
5%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.70/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.42
+19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +23%
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 187 · 64%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
26.3 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hearts vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dundee United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 Passes 230
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.01.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
01.09.2024 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
04.02.2023 Hearts Hearts 3-1 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
24.12.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
14.08.2022 Hearts Hearts 4-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
24.04.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-3 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP

Hearts 0-1 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
0-1
AWAY Dundee United
1.21 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
315 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United nicked a narrow win over Hearts 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hearts had 50% of the ball to Dundee United's 50%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.21 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hearts and 1.17 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Dundee United?

Hearts 0-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hearts 44%, draw 29%, Dundee United 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hearts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Under 2.5
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
6 Apr 2025
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