St. Johnstone 1-0 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 6 Apr 2025

St. Johnstone
1-0 HT 1-0
Celtic
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

St. Johnstone vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
5.17
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.17 — our 25% vs market 15.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
27.0
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
7%
34.0
X/1
7%
29.0
X/2
24%
3.74
X/X
9%
9.42
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
29%
1.33
2/X
5%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.4pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.5pp
60%
Away Win
80%
-19.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 84%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
0.48/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.76
-36% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +30%
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
188 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 83%
10.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.0
12.5 Crosses 24.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2

St. Johnstone vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celtic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.50 xG 2.99
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 12
167 Passes 606
64% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 51
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.12.2024 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
28.09.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-6 HT 0-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
16.03.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
03.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-3 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
26.08.2023 Celtic Celtic 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
05.02.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-4 HT 1-3 Celtic Celtic İKP

St. Johnstone 1-0 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-0
AWAY Celtic
0.52 xG 2.32
20% Ball Possession 80%
9 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 11
77 Passes 603
46% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 55
10 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone nicked a narrow win over Celtic 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Celtic carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 20% of the ball to Celtic's 80%, shots finished 9-26, expected goals 0.52 to 2.32 — on chances, Celtic could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St. Johnstone and 3.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Celtic?

St. Johnstone 1-0 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 18%, draw 22%, Celtic 60%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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