Tottenham 3-1 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.86
2-3 Goals
39%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.54
6+ Goals
14%
5.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.64
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.4
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
8%
15.15
X/X
11%
8.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.05
2/2
9%
11.35
2/X
4%
19.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.05 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.94/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.62
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
22.3 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Southampton
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.90 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
450 Passes 327
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Southampton Southampton 0-5 HT 0-5 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
18.03.2023 Southampton Southampton 3-3 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.08.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 2-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
09.02.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 2-3 HT 1-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
28.12.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
21.04.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
3-1
AWAY Southampton
2.12 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
424 Passes 416
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham beat Southampton 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham had 51% of the ball to Southampton's 49%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.12 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Tottenham and 1.50 for Southampton.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Southampton?

Tottenham 3-1 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 54%, draw 23%, Southampton 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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