Southampton 0-5 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

Southampton
0-5 HT 0-5
Tottenham
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Southampton vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.68
2-3 Goals
45%
2.38
4-5 Goals
24%
2.3
6+ Goals
10%
3.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.29
1/2
8%
17.65
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
9.37
X/2
14%
4.9
X/X
11%
7.58
2/1
4%
30.5
2/2
22%
2.19
2/X
4%
13.35
Value flag · X/1 at 9.37 — our 15% vs market 7.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.4pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southampton v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.02/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.18
-38% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
15.4 Crosses 21.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Southampton vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tottenham
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.42 xG 1.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
324 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Southampton Southampton 3-3 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.08.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 2-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
09.02.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 2-3 HT 1-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
28.12.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
21.04.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
20.09.2020 Southampton Southampton 2-5 HT 1-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP

Southampton 0-5 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
0-5
AWAY Tottenham
0.84 xG 2.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
373 Passes 544
87% Pass Accuracy 91%
17 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham swept aside Southampton 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Southampton had 42% of the ball to Tottenham's 58%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.84 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Southampton and 2.83 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Tottenham?

Southampton 0-5 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Southampton 33%, draw 23%, Tottenham 44%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
15 Dec 2024
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