Fulham 3-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

Fulham
3-2 HT 3-1
Liverpool
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Fulham vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
11.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.75
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
7%
8.25
X/2
19%
4.73
X/X
9%
4.92
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.57
2/X
8%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.75 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fulham v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 53%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.29/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.38
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
21.8 Crosses 15.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Fulham vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Liverpool
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.88 xG 1.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
310 Passes 507
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
21.04.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
24.01.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
10.01.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNLK
03.12.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 4-3 HT 2-2 Fulham Fulham İNP
03.05.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP

Fulham 3-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
3-2
AWAY Liverpool
0.74 xG 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 466
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham edged past Liverpool 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fulham had 38% of the ball to Liverpool's 62%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.50 — on chances, Liverpool could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fulham and 2.17 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Liverpool?

Fulham 3-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fulham 27%, draw 24%, Liverpool 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
6 Apr 2025
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