Liverpool 2-2 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
25%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.1
2-3 Goals
38%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.47
6+ Goals
12%
5.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
21.6
X/1
21%
3.7
X/2
10%
19.55
X/X
10%
8.89
2/1
8%
20.5
2/2
9%
13.6
2/X
7%
21.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
72%
-21.5pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.4pp
25%
Away Win
11%
+14.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.43/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.11
+6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
468 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
41.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
22.8 Crosses 14.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fulham
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
507 Passes 294
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
24.01.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
10.01.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNLK
03.12.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 4-3 HT 2-2 Fulham Fulham İNP
03.05.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
06.08.2022 Fulham Fulham 2-2 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
2-2
AWAY Fulham
2.13 xG 1.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
469 Passes 280
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool and Fulham couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Liverpool had 61% of the ball to Fulham's 39%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.13 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Liverpool and 1.33 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Fulham?

Liverpool 2-2 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 51%, draw 24%, Fulham 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
14 Dec 2024
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