Wolverhampton 1-2 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.24
6+ Goals
14%
11.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.24 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.65
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
14%
7.6
X/X
11%
5.02
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
9%
5.52
2/X
9%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.23/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/3.14
-21% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.8 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.71 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
345 Passes 295
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-2 HT 2-2 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK
27.01.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNCL
23.12.2017 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
07.03.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNCL
16.08.2016 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.04.2016 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
1-2
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.27 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
418 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 32
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town nicked a narrow win over Wolverhampton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wolverhampton at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 54% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 46%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.27 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wolverhampton and 0.50 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Ipswich Town?

Wolverhampton 1-2 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 42%, draw 27%, Ipswich Town 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolverhampton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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