Newcastle United 4-0 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

Newcastle United
4-0 HT 1-0
Leicester City
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newcastle United vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
25%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.51
2-3 Goals
40%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
4.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.7
X/1
15%
3.73
X/2
11%
19.2
X/X
10%
9.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.8
2/2
8%
13.0
2/X
5%
21.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
72%
-19.0pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
11%
+14.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.08/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.36
-15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.5 Crosses 12.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Newcastle United vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Leicester City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.96 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
314 Passes 357
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.05.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
10.01.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNLK
26.12.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 0-3 HT 0-3 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
17.04.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-1 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
12.12.2021 Leicester City Leicester City 4-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
07.05.2021 Leicester City Leicester City 2-4 HT 0-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP

Newcastle United 4-0 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
4-0
AWAY Leicester City
3.79 xG 0.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
553 Passes 331
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
54 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United ran out comfortable winners over Leicester City 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Newcastle United had 59% of the ball to Leicester City's 41%, shots finished 27-4, expected goals 3.79 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Newcastle United and 1.17 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Leicester City?

Newcastle United 4-0 Leicester City in the England - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 53%, draw 21%, Leicester City 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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