Arsenal 0-0 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.49
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
25.5
X/1
19%
3.33
X/2
6%
22.1
X/X
7%
7.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
2/2
6%
18.5
2/X
6%
26.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
75%
-12.3pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.30/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.22
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -15%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
511 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
45.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.0 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Everton
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.11 xG 0.86
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
584 Passes 205
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
40 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP
17.09.2023 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
01.03.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 4-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
04.02.2023 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
17.07.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 2-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton HAZ
22.05.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 5-1 HT 2-1 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
0-0
AWAY Everton
1.22 xG 0.09
77% Ball Possession 23%
13 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
631 Passes 149
92% Pass Accuracy 71%
49 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arsenal vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal and Everton played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Arsenal carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal had 77% of the ball to Everton's 23%, shots finished 13-2, expected goals 1.22 to 0.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Arsenal and 0.50 for Everton.

What was the final score of Arsenal vs Everton?

Arsenal 0-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 62%, draw 20%, Everton 17%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
14 Dec 2024
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