Degerfors 1-0 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.56
6+ Goals
7%
23.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 35% vs market 31.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.24
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
11%
4.93
X/2
14%
6.66
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
16%
5.16
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.9pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +22%
1.38/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.66
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
25.4 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
3W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.83 xG 1.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
294 Passes 436
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-3 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
14.08.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
01.07.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
29.10.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
25.04.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
16.09.2018 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
1-0
AWAY IFK Varnamo
0.37 xG 1.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
301 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 24
3 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors squeezed past IFK Varnamo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Degerfors found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Degerfors had 45% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 55%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.37 to 1.44 — on chances, IFK Varnamo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Degerfors and 1.17 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs IFK Varnamo?

Degerfors 1-0 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 33%, draw 29%, IFK Varnamo 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IFK Varnamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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