AIK 4-3 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
4.34
6+ Goals
10%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.31
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
11%
14.8
X/1
20%
4.18
X/2
12%
9.15
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
7.84
2/X
5%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.43/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.51
-16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.2 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Norrköping
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.46 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
401 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
05.05.2024 AIK AIK 6-2 HT 3-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
21.08.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 3-1 HT 2-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
10.04.2023 AIK AIK 0-3 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
21.08.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-4 HT 0-3 AIK AIK İSÇ
10.04.2022 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
4-3
AWAY Norrköping
1.67 xG 1.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
301 Passes 302
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AIK vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK nicked a narrow win over Norrköping 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AIK had 50% of the ball to Norrköping's 50%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.67 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AIK and 1.83 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of AIK vs Norrköping?

AIK 4-3 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AIK 45%, draw 26%, Norrköping 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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