Burgos 2-1 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
14%
7.75
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.7
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
16%
4.8
X/2
7%
6.37
X/X
18%
3.04
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
18%
5.68
2/X
7%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.2pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.32/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.16
-16% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.3 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Huesca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.46 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.09.2024 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
24.03.2024 Huesca Huesca 3-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
13.08.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
09.04.2023 Huesca Huesca 2-1 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
18.12.2022 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
18.03.2022 Huesca Huesca 1-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
2-1
AWAY Huesca
0.89 xG 0.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
357 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos squeezed past Huesca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Burgos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burgos had 54% of the ball to Huesca's 46%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.89 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burgos and 1.33 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Huesca?

Burgos 2-1 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Burgos 35%, draw 33%, Huesca 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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