Huesca 0-1 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.09
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.37
X/2
8%
6.97
X/X
16%
3.7
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
11%
5.79
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -20%
1.17/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.30
+8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.9 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Burgos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Huesca Huesca 3-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
13.08.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
09.04.2023 Huesca Huesca 2-1 HT 2-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
18.12.2022 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
18.03.2022 Huesca Huesca 1-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
24.10.2021 Burgos Burgos 3-1 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
0-1
AWAY Burgos
0.33 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 432
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos squeezed past Huesca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Huesca at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Huesca had 44% of the ball to Burgos's 56%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.33 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Huesca and 1.00 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Burgos?

Huesca 0-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Huesca 46%, draw 30%, Burgos 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Huesca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Huesca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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