Sporting Gijon 3-1 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.52
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.74
X/2
12%
5.93
X/X
13%
3.56
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.84
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.23/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.12
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.8 Crosses 19.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.21 xG 0.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.02.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
09.09.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
13.05.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
17.12.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
16.04.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
09.10.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
3-1
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.70 xG 0.84
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
180 Passes 455
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 20
5 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon saw off Real Oviedo 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Sporting Gijon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 32% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 68%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.67 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Real Oviedo?

Sporting Gijon 3-1 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 35%, draw 29%, Real Oviedo 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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