Alcorcon 3-1 Atletico Sanluqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 36% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.84/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.34
+24% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
252 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Atletico Sanluqueno Atletico Sanluqueno 1-2 HT 0-2 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
3-1
AWAY Atletico Sanluqueno
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Atletico Sanluqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon beat Atletico Sanluqueno 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alcorcon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcorcon had 54% of the ball to Atletico Sanluqueno's 46%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

Alcorcon 3-1 Atletico Sanluqueno in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Atletico Sanluqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 45%, draw 30%, Atletico Sanluqueno 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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