Ponferradina 3-1 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
12%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.46/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.52
-10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Union
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Real Union Real Union 2-2 HT 0-1 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
12.05.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
22.10.2023 Real Union Real Union 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
3-1
AWAY Real Union
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina got the better of Real Union 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ponferradina had 61% of the ball to Real Union's 39%, shots finished 22-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ponferradina and 1.33 for Real Union.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Real Union?

Ponferradina 3-1 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 54%, draw 25%, Real Union 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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