Lugo 0-1 Gimnastica Segoviana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.8
Over 2.5
61%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.6
6+ Goals
12%
15.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
52%
-12.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
48%
+12.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.8pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 21%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.38/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.41
+40% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.12.2024 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
0-1
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Gimnastica Segoviana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Segoviana squeezed past Lugo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lugo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugo had 67% of the ball to Gimnastica Segoviana's 33%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Lugo 0-1 Gimnastica Segoviana in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lugo 52%, draw 22%, Gimnastica Segoviana 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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