Real Union 2-2 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.64
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +64%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
22.10.2023 Real Union Real Union 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
2-2
AWAY Ponferradina
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union and Ponferradina couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Union had 51% of the ball to Ponferradina's 49%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Union and 1.50 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Ponferradina?

Real Union 2-2 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Union 35%, draw 28%, Ponferradina 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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