Athletic Bilbao II 1-3 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
6.25
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
0.95/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.02
-25% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
402 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
05.11.2022 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
20.03.2016 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 0-4 HT 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
17.10.2015 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1-3
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona beat Athletic Bilbao II 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gimnastic Tarragona found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 64% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 36%, shots finished 19-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.50 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Athletic Bilbao II 1-3 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 40%, draw 29%, Gimnastic Tarragona 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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