Celta Vigo II 1-0 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
12%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.34/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.50
+48% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ourense CF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 14
12.01.2014 Ourense CF Ourense CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
1-0
AWAY Ourense CF
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II squeezed past Ourense CF 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 52% of the ball to Ourense CF's 48%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Ourense CF?

Celta Vigo II 1-0 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 57%, draw 22%, Ourense CF 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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