Real Murcia 1-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.15
6+ Goals
10%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +22%
1.11/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.69
-12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
02.01.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia and Atletico Madrid II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Murcia had 41% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 59%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II?

Real Murcia 1-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 38%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid II 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Murcia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5
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