Ourense CF 1-0 Zamora CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
5.29
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.18/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.98
+2% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zamora CF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Zamora CF Zamora CF 1-1 HT 0-1 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
18.02.2024 Zamora CF Zamora CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS4
07.10.2023 Ourense CF Ourense CF 0-3 HT 0-2 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS4
05.03.2023 Ourense CF Ourense CF 0-1 HT 0-1 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS4
16.10.2022 Zamora CF Zamora CF 2-3 HT 1-3 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS4
20.04.2014 Zamora CF Zamora CF 2-1 HT 2-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Zamora CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF squeezed past Zamora CF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ourense CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamora CF led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ourense CF and 1.50 for Zamora CF.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Zamora CF?

Ourense CF 1-0 Zamora CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Zamora CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 37%, draw 27%, Zamora CF 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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