CD Aguilas 0-1 Villanovense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.53
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.2pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Villanovense EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.29/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.25
-16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Villanovense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.11.2024 Villanovense Villanovense 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
0-1
AWAY Villanovense
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Villanovense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villanovense squeezed past CD Aguilas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Aguilas at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 64% of the ball to Villanovense's 36%, shots finished 21-9.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Villanovense?

CD Aguilas 0-1 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Villanovense?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 49%, draw 28%, Villanovense 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Aguilas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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