Villanovense 1-0 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
64%
1.33
Over 2.5
36%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
30%
Draw
33%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
72%
-7.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
28%
+7.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villanovense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -27%
1.03/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.44
-7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
POST-MATCH Villanovense vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villanovense edged past CD Aguilas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Villanovense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Villanovense vs CD Aguilas?

Villanovense 1-0 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villanovense vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villanovense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Villanovense 39%, draw 30%, CD Aguilas 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villanovense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villanovense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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