Compostela 1-0 Salamanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.52
Over 2.5
51%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
62%
-12.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
38%
+12.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.8pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Salamanca EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.43
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Salamanca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Salamanca Salamanca 2-2 HT 2-1 Compostela Compostela İS4
15.05.2022 Salamanca Salamanca 2-1 HT 0-1 Compostela Compostela İS4
23.02.2022 Compostela Compostela 4-2 HT 3-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
28.03.2021 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 0-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS3
20.01.2021 Salamanca Salamanca 3-0 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS3
08.06.2003 Salamanca Salamanca 4-2 HT 1-2 Compostela Compostela İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Compostela
1-0
AWAY Salamanca
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Salamanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela squeezed past Salamanca 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Compostela as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Compostela had 41% of the ball to Salamanca's 59%, shots finished 8-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salamanca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Compostela and 2.33 for Salamanca.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Salamanca?

Compostela 1-0 Salamanca in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Salamanca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Compostela 43%, draw 25%, Salamanca 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Compostela) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Compostela) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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