Salamanca 2-2 Compostela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salamanca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Compostela EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
0.86/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.07
-29% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salamanca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Compostela
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2022 Salamanca Salamanca 2-1 HT 0-1 Compostela Compostela İS4
23.02.2022 Compostela Compostela 4-2 HT 3-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
28.03.2021 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 0-1 Salamanca Salamanca İS3
20.01.2021 Salamanca Salamanca 3-0 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS3
08.06.2003 Salamanca Salamanca 4-2 HT 1-2 Compostela Compostela İS2
12.01.2003 Compostela Compostela 0-0 HT 0-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salamanca
2-2
AWAY Compostela
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salamanca vs Compostela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salamanca and Compostela couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Salamanca had 61% of the ball to Compostela's 39%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salamanca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Salamanca and 1.33 for Compostela.

What was the final score of Salamanca vs Compostela?

Salamanca 2-2 Compostela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salamanca vs Compostela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salamanca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Salamanca 37%, draw 28%, Compostela 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salamanca) ✗ Under 2.5
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