Gernika 0-3 Arenas de Getxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gernika EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.10/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.90
+6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 28.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gernika
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 4-1 HT 1-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
24.02.2024 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 0-0 HT 0-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
15.10.2023 Gernika Gernika 2-2 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
16.04.2023 Gernika Gernika 0-2 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
04.12.2022 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 0-2 HT 0-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
27.02.2022 Gernika Gernika 0-2 HT 0-2 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gernika
0-3
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gernika vs Arenas de Getxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo cruised past Gernika 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Arenas de Getxo found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Gernika had 53% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 47%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arenas de Getxo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gernika and 1.67 for Arenas de Getxo.

What was the final score of Gernika vs Arenas de Getxo?

Gernika 0-3 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gernika vs Arenas de Getxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gernika 37%, draw 28%, Arenas de Getxo 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gernika), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gernika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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