Izarra 1-2 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No OUR CALL
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
55%
Away Win
62%
-6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 66%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.36/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-57% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Izarra
2W-1D-0L
AWAY SD Logrones
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 SD Logrones SD Logrones 2-3 HT 1-1 Izarra Izarra İS4
30.01.2021 SD Logrones SD Logrones 0-1 HT 0-1 Izarra Izarra İS3
01.11.2020 Izarra Izarra 1-1 HT 1-0 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
1-2
AWAY SD Logrones
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Izarra vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones squeezed past Izarra 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Izarra had 48% of the ball to SD Logrones's 52%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Izarra had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Izarra and 1.00 for SD Logrones.

What was the final score of Izarra vs SD Logrones?

Izarra 1-2 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Izarra 18%, draw 27%, SD Logrones 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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