SD Logrones vs Izarra Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SD Logrones v Izarra — Team-Based Signals
SD Logrones vs Izarra Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Izarra
İS3
1-1
HT 1-0
SD Logrones
İS3
SD Logrones 2-3 Izarra — Actual Match Statistics
Izarra squeezed past SD Logrones 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was SD Logrones at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, SD Logrones had 58% of the ball to Izarra's 42%, shots finished 27-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Izarra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SD Logrones and 1.00 for Izarra.
What was the final score of SD Logrones vs Izarra?
SD Logrones 2-3 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SD Logrones vs Izarra?
Before kick-off our model rated a SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split SD Logrones 54%, draw 27%, Izarra 18%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.