Linense 0-2 Xerez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linense EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.59/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.47
-37% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +88%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
203 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Xerez
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Xerez Xerez 1-2 HT 1-0 Linense Linense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linense
0-2
AWAY Xerez
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Linense vs Xerez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez got the better of Linense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Linense had 46% of the ball to Xerez's 54%, shots finished 3-11.

What was the final score of Linense vs Xerez?

Linense 0-2 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linense vs Xerez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Linense 25%, draw 30%, Xerez 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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