Xerez 1-2 Linense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Linense EU Bookmakers 19%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.74
-70% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
1-2
AWAY Linense
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Linense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linense nicked a narrow win over Xerez 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xerez had 53% of the ball to Linense's 47%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Linense?

Xerez 1-2 Linense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Linense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Xerez 52%, draw 28%, Linense 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xerez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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