Real Avila 3-2 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Avila EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 23%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
1.13/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.42
-19% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Avila
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
7 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Avila Real Avila İS4
POST-MATCH Real Avila vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila nicked a narrow win over Gimnastica Torrelavega 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Avila as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Real Avila vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Real Avila 3-2 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 53%, draw 24%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Avila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Avila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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