Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-1 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
0-1
AWAY Real Avila
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila nicked a narrow win over Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Avila found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnastica Torrelavega had 61% of the ball to Real Avila's 39%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Avila?

Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-1 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Torrelavega win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Torrelavega 39%, draw 28%, Real Avila 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnastica Torrelavega) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastica Torrelavega) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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