UD Logrones 3-0 Anguiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
59%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
UD Logrones win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.2pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.0pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+12.0pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Anguiano EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.21/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.58
+21% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Logrones
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Anguiano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Anguiano 2-1 HT 1-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
3-0
AWAY Anguiano
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs Anguiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones swept aside Anguiano 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, UD Logrones had 53% of the ball to Anguiano's 47%, shots finished 12-2.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs Anguiano?

UD Logrones 3-0 Anguiano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs Anguiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 59%, draw 25%, Anguiano 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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