Anguiano 2-1 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
32%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+10.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anguiano EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 62%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.33/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.49
+54% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +68%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 45.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anguiano
2-1
AWAY UD Logrones
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Anguiano vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anguiano edged past UD Logrones 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was UD Logrones at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anguiano had 38% of the ball to UD Logrones's 62%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Anguiano vs UD Logrones?

Anguiano 2-1 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anguiano vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Anguiano 27%, draw 25%, UD Logrones 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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