Zaragoza II 2-1 Subiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
59%
2.15
Over 2.5
41%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-14.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Subiza EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.88/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.97
+23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Subiza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 Subiza 2-0 HT 1-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
2-1
AWAY Subiza
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Subiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II edged past Subiza 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zaragoza II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 46% of the ball to Subiza's 54%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Subiza?

Zaragoza II 2-1 Subiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Subiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 41%, draw 27%, Subiza 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaragoza II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
6 Apr 2025
11:00 Real Madrid III vs Tenerife II Analysis →
13:00 Rayo Cantabria vs Numancia Analysis →
13:00 Ejea vs CD Calahorra Analysis →
13:00 Pena Deportiva vs Sant Andreu Analysis →
13:00 Mallorca II vs UE Olot Analysis →
13:00 Espanyol II vs Atletico Baleares Analysis →