Subiza 2-0 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Subiza EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Subiza
2-0
AWAY Zaragoza II
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Subiza vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Subiza saw off Zaragoza II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Subiza made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Subiza had 56% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 44%, shots finished 19-17.

What was the final score of Subiza vs Zaragoza II?

Subiza 2-0 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Subiza vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Subiza 31%, draw 29%, Zaragoza II 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zaragoza II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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