Caldiero Terme 1-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.53
6+ Goals
12%
14.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 25% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.02/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.33
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldiero Terme
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 2-0 HT 0-0 Caldiero Terme İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
1-1
AWAY Atalanta II
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldiero Terme and Atalanta II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 36% of the ball to Atalanta II's 64%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs Atalanta II?

Caldiero Terme 1-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 29%, draw 25%, Atalanta II 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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