Valur vs Vestri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valur v Vestri — Team-Based Signals
Valur vs Vestri Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
Vestri
İZLK
2-1
HT 1-1
Valur
İZK
5-0
HT 2-0
Vestri
İZLK
Valur 1-1 Vestri — Actual Match Statistics
Valur and Vestri shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valur at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.
On the day, Valur had 69% of the ball to Vestri's 31%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.03 to 0.16.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Valur and 0.80 for Vestri.
What was the final score of Valur vs Vestri?
Valur 1-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valur vs Vestri?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Valur 59%, draw 22%, Vestri 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 went the other way.