St. Pauli 1-1 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 6 Apr 2025

St. Pauli
1-1 HT 0-1
Mönchengladbach
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 24% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.15
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.27
X/2
8%
6.76
X/X
11%
4.79
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
20%
4.65
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.02/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.88
-47% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.1 Crosses 14.6
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 2.34
44% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
414 Passes 562
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
25 Box Touches 24
32 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
10.08.2015 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-4 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AFK
12.02.2011 St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-1 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.09.2010 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
16.03.2008 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
25.09.2007 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-3 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL2

St. Pauli 1-1 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
1-1
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.94 xG 0.57
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
470 Passes 243
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 11
38 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli and Mönchengladbach couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, St. Pauli had 64% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 36%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 1.94 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Pauli and 2.00 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach?

St. Pauli 1-1 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 38%, draw 26%, Mönchengladbach 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Pauli), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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